Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.240476 0.286606 0.338350 0.400567 0.473217 0.555233 0.654705
2025-02-23 0.164971 0.221838 0.292837 0.387472 0.509722 0.661673 0.864128
2025-03-02 0.121406 0.178926 0.256766 0.368763 0.524529 0.732040 1.027650
2025-03-09 0.101469 0.161188 0.247469 0.379477 0.574163 0.848052 1.259082
2025-03-16 0.080749 0.137445 0.224412 0.365089 0.583780 0.906725 1.414189
2025-03-23 0.070058 0.126691 0.218215 0.373562 0.626211 1.015013 1.650177
2025-03-30 0.061110 0.116931 0.211615 0.379608 0.664331 1.119203 1.888827
2025-04-06 0.052122 0.105347 0.199938 0.375046 0.683703 1.194572 2.087917
2025-04-13 0.044853 0.095513 0.189623 0.370949 0.702529 1.269709 2.292275
2025-04-20 0.040843 0.091179 0.188489 0.382812 0.749958 1.396534 2.594007
2025-04-27 0.039787 0.092571 0.198220 0.415846 0.838773 1.602441 3.049661
2025-05-04 0.036930 0.089669 0.199063 0.431671 0.896861 1.758384 3.429375
2025-05-11 0.032268 0.082267 0.190278 0.428344 0.920070 1.856957 3.721805
2025-05-18 0.027321 0.073307 0.176941 0.414020 0.920263 1.913272 3.942773
2025-05-25 0.022764 0.064321 0.162051 0.394106 0.906286 1.940283 4.109346
2025-06-01 0.020955 0.061840 0.161475 0.405496 0.959033 2.103331 4.555647
2025-06-08 0.017794 0.055154 0.149920 0.390198 0.952097 2.144598 4.761251
2025-06-15 0.016376 0.052924 0.148831 0.399208 0.999874 2.302925 5.218875
2025-06-22 0.014983 0.050477 0.146808 0.405636 1.042353 2.453573 5.672669
2025-06-29 0.013254 0.046665 0.140613 0.400785 1.057801 2.546895 6.011805
2025-07-06 0.011763 0.043253 0.134933 0.396429 1.073821 2.642648 6.363778
2025-07-13 0.011054 0.042204 0.135655 0.409042 1.132828 2.840262 6.956695
2025-07-20 0.011139 0.043831 0.144287 0.444157 1.251893 3.185348 7.907045